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Posts Tagged ‘rising stock’

Chiefs 23 – Chargers 20

  • For those waiting for Jackie Battle to disappear, keep waiting. He is the only viable running back on the team and he runs downhill with heart. Oh, and he found the end zone finally.
  • Not buying into Jonathan Baldwin. He is a potential to repeat this week, but a 14-team plus only add.
  • Two great quarterback performances on Monday night. If you missed the game, try and catch an abridged version somehow. Matt Cassel looked mobile in the pocket and Phillip Rivers made plays that were hall of fame worthy.
  • Yes, they both threw two interceptions. There was a big difference between the first half and the second half in quality.
  • Ryan Matthews likely out next week. Mike Tolbert’s status completely unknown. Enter Curtis Brinkley, undrafted free agent out of Syracuse. He is another name to add to the list of undrafted FA’s who are hidden gems. If there is any doubt to Tolbert’s status, Brinkley is a must add in all formats, especially in PPR.
  • Malcolm Floyd is big, fast, and agile. He makes plays and as long as Rivers has time Floyd stands to benefit greatly.
  • I would sit Phillip Rivers this week. He may have difficulty getting over what happened with the fumble. Risky play at best.
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Leave your thoughts on the games in the comments!
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Santana Moss

Broken hand for Santana Moss. Anthony Armstrong and Jabar Gaffney stand to benefit the most.

Well, I apologize for no Stock Watch article for week 8. I was under the weather and needed a break. But, good news is I feel better today and I have some great questions from the readers. Really enjoy getting so many questions each week as they give me unique opportunities to analyze different situations. Half of the questions I get are extremely in-depth and very situation dependent. The ones that aren’t are used for this article as the long ones would just be too much reading. This week surprisingly didn’t have too many common questions. The most asked about player was Jabar Gaffney but even he had limited questions.

So I am under the assumption week 8 is a boring week in comparison to week 7. Good news, I think. Let’s jump into those questions for week 8!

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Heath Miller or Jake Ballard at TE? – BigHurtPR
I like Ballard this week. Miami is a pretty embarrassing football team and possession is going to be the name of the game. But in all honesty, both are decent plays this week, just giving the edge to Ballard.

I have Blount, Tolbert, Steven Jackson, and Peyton Hillis – Are any of these worth Dropping for Brandon Jacobs who is a free agent in my league? It is a ppr league – Nick
Jacobs isn’t worth adding. Bradshaw may have worked the system in New York to where he has even more snaps then usual when Jacobs returns. You just have to wait and see if there is any value in him before you give up someone valuable for him. So just sit on the guys you have and worry about the bye-week when it happens.

So you think Michael Jenkins is worth more than Torrey Smith?
Actually, yeah. It’s tough to judge if Ponder is going to stay this good but if he does Jenkins actually has some value.

Hey Bro! Would you start BGE or Gore this week? BGE vs Pittsburgh, Gore vs Cleveland. Thanks bro! – Martin
Definitely Gore. Start your studs every week even if the match-up is a bit off. Pittsburgh is still a good defense, not the best anymore, but not a favorable match-up by any means.

What do you think about me trading Jonathan Stewart for Marshawn Lynch and Colt McCoy? – Isaac
It’s alright. Rather have J. Stew over either considering Lynch isn’t exactly a lock to be healthy this season (back injuries don’t go away) and McCoy hasn’t been anything special, just average at best.

Would you take Torrey Smith over Reggie Wayne this week? Thanks. – Shane
Yes I would. Really like Smith this week. My guess this is that he will have his final ‘breakout’ game this year. This isn’t a traditional safe pick, but it isn’t like Reggie Wayne is going to give you a great fantasy day anyways.

Greetings, who do I start: Pierre Thomas or Mark Ingram (at STL)… (non PPR)? – Alberto
Still sticking with Ingram in non-PPR leagues. Thomas more a higher value in PPR formats but Ingram should get the bulk of the carries and, in theory, goal line situation priority.

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Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson is back. Expect a huge turnaround this week.

Strange week. Lot’s of injuries and bye-weeks. Either you are scrambling to put together a team or you are just hoping to stay healthy this week, the season is only half over (for fantasy). Let’s take a look at the ‘Wednesday Countdown’ where I list:

  • 5 Studs
  • 4 Duds
  • 3 Sleepers
  • 2 Deep Sleepers and
  • 1 Food for Thought
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Studs
  1. Eli Manning
  2. Drew Brees
  3. Adrian Peterson
  4. Chris Johnson (seriously)
  5. Anquan Boldin
Duds
  1. Fred Jackson – Against one the NFL’s best rushing defenses, the Bills are going to pass early and often and I would be surprised if Jackson eclipses 17-18 touches.
  2. Frank Gore – Cleveland has only allowed two rushing touchdowns to opposing backs all season.
  3. Dwayne Bowe – He has been inconsistent since he has been in the league and this is going to be a down week. San Diego only has given up two touchdowns to opposing receivers outside of last weeks game where Burress scored three times. That won’t happen again.
  4. Jimmy Graham – This call could end up looking genius if I am right. I am assuming Brees will have a big day but the beneficiaries will be Colston, Sproles, and Meachem. St. Louis plays tight ends well and this could be Grahams worst week of the season.
Sleepers
  1. Matt Hasselbeck – Indianapolis is awful. Big day for the Titans ahead.
  2. Demaryius Thomas – After a week to get acclimated with the offense, Thomas will be unleashed. Hope you picked him up before he gets hot.
  3. Reggie Bush – His name doesn’t sound like he can be called a sleeper but everyone has about given up no him. Expect him to turn it around against an awful Giants defense.
Deep Sleepers
  1. Alfonso Smith – With Beanie Wells likely out in week 8, Smith stands to receive a huge boost in workload. Expecting 15 touches is reasonable this weekend.
  2. Daniel Fells – With Tebow being Tebow, he is going to need close targets to be successful. Fells is the first TE on the depth chart for the Broncos and he has shown he can make Tebow look brilliant. He isn’t a must start but he could make you look smart by heeding this advice.
Food for Thought
  1. The most underrated aspects of fantasy football is the concept of ‘guaranteed touches’. When I get the large list of questions each day, the phrase I try and include is ‘guaranteed touches’. With said touches, you help yourself out with more chances for big plays. If a player is only going to touch the ball five times a game, his fantasy value is limited. This is why fantasy analysts constantly recommend running backs over receivers, they simply touch the ball more. So when deciding between Mike Tolbert and Steve Breaston, just remember, Tolbert will have more guaranteed touches.
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Stud: More then 15 points
Dud: Less then 10 points
Sleeper: More then 8 points
Deep Sleeper: More then 6 points

Keep sending your questions to DailyFantasyFootball@gmail.com and click the subscribe button to the right for daily content!

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Week 8 Byes: Falcons, Bears, Packers, Jets, Raiders, Buccaneers
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Christian Ponder – QB

Christian Ponder

His mobility alone makes him a fantasy asset. After you mix in his accuracy he becomes a viable fantasy player during bye-weeks. Hopefully he has Percy Harvin to throw to if not Michael Jenkins becomes ‘the guy’ as well as Visanthe Shiancoe.

John Beck – QB

John Beck

This is just a match-up play. Buffalo ranks 29th in the league against the pass but Beck will be without Santana Moss the only real receiving threat the Redskins have. Thankfully he will still have Fred Davis to his disposal. Good news is that Beck is almost a guarantee to be available in your league. Expect 10-15 points.

DeMarco Murray – RB

DeMarco Murray

Don’t expect him to rack up over even 100 yards a week but here comes another favorable match-up. Felix Jones is unlikely to be back and Tashard Choice shouldn’t steal too many touches as long as Murray continues to show dominance.

Maurice Morris – RB

Maurice Morris

Touch call on this one but seeing as Jahvid Best is still dealing with concussion issues Morris likely gets the start against the Broncos. Expect Morris and Kelland Williams to split carries with Morris getting about 60% of the touches.

Torrey Smith – WR

Torrey Smith

I’ve said all along Torrey Smith is a match-up play and he has the best match-up this season against the Cardinals who rank 31st in the league against opposing receivers. Strong potential for 100 yards and a touchdown in this one.

Demaryius Thomas – WR

Demaryius Thomas

Not so much for this week but for the rest of the season. With Brandon Lloyd gone and Eric Decker getting all the attention (for now) from defenses Demaryius Thomas is a deep threat waiting to happen. We all know how Tim Tebow makes poor decisions but that actually benefits physical receivers. Once Thomas and Tebow improve their chemistry it is entirely possible he becomes the go to guy.

Jeremy Shockey – TE

Jeremy Shockey

He has been arguably the most consistent tight end this season. He has at least three catches in every game but one but no more than four in any. He is a lock for about four catches and fifty yards.

Heath Miller – TE

Heath Miller

Great match up this week for Miller as the Patriots are severely lacking at the linebacker position. Expect Miller to have another 5-7 catch day with a strong possibility for a touchdown. One of the better times this year to use Miller.

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Kicker pick-up of the week: John Kasay

D/ST pick-up of the week: Texans

Other Potential Pick-ups: Matt Cassel (QB), Matt Hasselbeck (QB), Montario Hardesty (RB), Michael Bush *BYE* (RB), Steve Breaston (WR), Doug Baldwin (WR), Damian Williams (WR), Jake Ballard (TE), Ed Dickson (TE)

Keep sending in all your great questions and don’t forget to subscribe to my blog for daily content!

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Ray Rice fumbles

Too many fumbles in Monday nights game.

Going to spend as little time on this post as possible, this game was awful to watch and unless you were rooting for either of these teams you probably turned it off early in the second quarter when it was apparent neither team came to play.

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Jaguars 12 – Ravens 7

Game Studs: N/A

  • Ray Rice had 8 carries in a game that called for a change of pace back. Something went terribly wrong with the Ravens play calling.
  • Joe Flacco regularly missed open targets and when he did find them they dropped the ball.
  • Maurice Jones-Drew carried the ball 30 times, more then half of the teams plays. Gotta love the amount of touches.
  • Jason Hill was clearly the receiver of choice for Blaine Gabbert. Mike Thomas was a no show.
  • Rice and Jones-Drew both had severe issues holding onto the ball. How hard is it to just put two hands on the ball?
  • Deji Karim got a decent amount of rushes but he looks like he has regressed from last year. No longer think he is a viable hand cuff.
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Phew. Glad that’s over. Leave your thoughts on the weekend games in the comments!

As always if you have a question ask it here and subscribe to this blog for daily content (button on the right)!

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Tim Tebow

Tim Tebow is the poor man's Cam Newton.

The way this week has worked out has certainly benefited those who had been most affected by bye-weeks. Names like DeMarco Murray, Montario Hardesty, Tim Tebow, Jackie Battle, and Eric Decker certainly have the potential to save your week. However, this isn’t a waiver wire pick-up article but what I like to call my ‘Wednesday Countdown’ where I list:

  • 5 Studs
  • 4 Duds
  • 3 Sleepers
  • 2 Deep Sleepers and
  • 1 Food for Thought
I will be keeping track of my stats on a weekly basis.
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Studs
  1. Tony Romo
  2. Darren McFadden
  3. Matt Forte
  4. Ray Rice
  5. Miles Austin
Duds
  1. Jason Witten – For everything the Ram’s don’t do they make up for in tight-end coverage. St. Louis is the number one ranked defense against the position meaning Tony Romo will likely be airing it out to Miles Austin and Dez Bryant.
  2. Vincent Jackson – Revis Island and he is @NYJ.
  3. Larry Fitzgerald – Steelers secondary is still elite and Kolb has been a big disappointment all year.
  4. Steven Jackson – Dallas hasn’t given up more then 84 yards, on the ground, this year.
Sleepers
  1. Jackie Battle – Oakland has a porous rushing defense and he looks to be the workhorse in Kansas City.
  2. Steve Breaston – He has emerged as a solid number two. In case you can’t tell, I believe in the Chiefs this week @ Oakland.
  3. DeMarco Murray – Dallas is going to ground and pound it in the second half after they go up big on St. Louis; the Rams have had little success stopping the run at all giving up over 130 yards on the ground in four out of fives games.
Deep Sleepers
  1. Damian Williams – His redzone targets have gone up which is a product of teams covering Nate Washington. Williams could easily get 4 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown this week against a Mario Williams-less Texans defense.
  2. Christian Ponder – Welcome to the NFL Christian Ponder. Your first task, the Green Bay Packers. Good news for fantasy owners as he will likely be playing catch-up the entire game. I foresee a lot of dump offs to Shiancoe and Peterson.
Food for Thought
  1. What happens when Tim Tebow fails? Rumors at the start of the season were that Tebow was 4th on the Broncos depth chart (behind Kyle Orton, Brady Quinn, and undrafted rookie QB Adam Weber). Clearly the Broncos were on to something but it is time to find out how right they were. Putting your fantasy season in the hands of a barely viable NFL quarterback could come back to haunt you. The decision to stick with Tebow will either really hurt you or at the most keep you in matches; make no mistake, Tim Tebow will not win you matches from week to week. In my mind, Tim Tebow is roughly the 10th most valuable fantasy quarterback going forward. So odds are if you picked him up Tebow is your guy. Good luck to those that are going to stick it out with Tebow, I’m rooting for you.
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Stud: More then 15 points
Dud: Less then 10 points
Sleeper: More then 8 points
Deep Sleeper: More then 6 points

Keep sending your questions to DailyFantasyFootball@gmail.com and click the subscribe button to the right for daily content!

Results (weekly | yearly)
Studs: 2/5 | (5/10)
Duds: 1/4 | (3/8)
Sleepers: 1/3 | (3/6)
Deep Sleepers: 0/2 | (0/4)
Alright so yeah. Last week was pretty bad for me. Feeling confident about my picks this week.

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Week 7 could be the most painful of all the bye-weeks this season. So many big names are sitting this week and it is all but a certainty you are here because your team needs some fill-ins, fast. Well I have good news, there are some fantastic names on the waiver wire this week due to injuries and trades and they can be plugged into your line-up ASAP with high confidence. The more stars the better!

Week 7 Byes: Bills, Bengals, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, 49ers
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Tim Tebow – QB

Tim Tebow

If you need a quarterback and Tim Tebow is still available in your league this is an absolute no-brainer. What he lacks in quarterback stats he more then makes up for in running. He is all but a guarantee for 50-60 yards and a score every week on the ground in addition to his throwing, which is poor at best sometimes. Tebow is the poor mans Cam Newton or Michael Vick right now. Don’t forget Tebow was the MVP of last seasons fantasy playoffs.

Carson Palmer – QB

Carson Palmer

The world is coming to an end! Reports are slowly coming out that the Raiders are just a few signatures away from acquiring Palmer from the Bengals. The outlook for the Raiders have never been more promising and Palmer is a huge add this week assuming he passes all physicals.

DeMarco Murray – RB

DeMarco Murray

It is looking more and more like Felix Jones is going to be out for at least this Sundays game. Dallas plays the winless Rams who are 28th in the league in run defense. Between Murray and Tashard Choice, Murray looks like the more explosive and elusive back and could easily post top-15 numbers this week, if not better.

Montario Hardesty – RB

Montario Hardesty

With the uncertainty if Peyton Hillis is going to play this week, for whatever reason, Hardesty stands to take over his roll. Throughout the season you could easily make the case Hardesty has looked better then Hillis making this switch easier to trust. I would slightly recommend Murray over Hardesty (for one we don’t know if Hillis will play) but only until we have clarity over both cases.

James Jones – WR

James Jones

I don’t like recommending Jones, but it is hard to argue his recent production. However, he had one catch last week. It is impossible to predict from game to game if he will even have a catch let alone touchdowns, which is needed for him to have a fantasy relevant day. If you are in a deeper league, or feeling lucky, give Jones a look.

Greg Little – WR

Greg Little

We could finally have a fantasy relevant wide receiver in Cleveland. Greg Little was plugged into the starting line-up in week 6 and he looked great. Going forward he could easily move his way into WR2 status. During a bye-week he is almost a must-start in all leagues 10 teams or more.

Benjamin Watson – TE

Benjamin Watson

Yes, I am extremely bothered by how many Browns I am recommending, this bye-week is very painful. However, his recommendation is simply based on how little tight ends there are to choose from this week. After Watson the only other possible names are Heath Miller, and Fred Davis. Both of them are owned in most leagues. Watson has been hit or miss since last year but he is easily capable of a touchdown every week and he faces a below average Seattle defense.

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Kicker pick-up of the week: Dan Bailey

D/ST pick-up of the week: Titans

Other Potential Pick-ups: Curtis Painter (QB), Tashard Choice (RB), Delone Carter (RB), Kevin Walter (WR), Steve Breaston (WR), Devin Hester (WR), Visanthe Shiancoe (TE), Heath Miller (TE)

Keep sending in all your great questions and don’t forget to subscribe to my blog for daily content!

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