Week 8: Wednesday Countdown

Chris Johnson is back. Expect a huge turnaround this week.

Strange week. Lot’s of injuries and bye-weeks. Either you are scrambling to put together a team or you are just hoping to stay healthy this week, the season is only half over (for fantasy). Let’s take a look at the ‘Wednesday Countdown’ where I list:

• 5 Studs
• 4 Duds
• 3 Sleepers
• 2 Deep Sleepers and
• 1 Food for Thought

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Studs

1. Eli Manning
2. Drew Brees
3. Adrian Peterson
4. Chris Johnson (seriously)
5. Anquan Boldin

Duds

1. Fred Jackson – Against one the NFL’s best rushing defenses, the Bills are going to pass early and often and I would be surprised if Jackson eclipses 17-18 touches.
2. Frank Gore – Cleveland has only allowed two rushing touchdowns to opposing backs all season.
3. Dwayne Bowe – He has been inconsistent since he has been in the league and this is going to be a down week. San Diego only has given up two touchdowns to opposing receivers outside of last weeks game where Burress scored three times. That won’t happen again.
4. Jimmy Graham – This call could end up looking genius if I am right. I am assuming Brees will have a big day but the beneficiaries will be Colston, Sproles, and Meachem. St. Louis plays tight ends well and this could be Grahams worst week of the season.

Sleepers

1. Matt Hasselbeck – Indianapolis is awful. Big day for the Titans ahead.
2. Demaryius Thomas – After a week to get acclimated with the offense, Thomas will be unleashed. Hope you picked him up before he gets hot.
3. Reggie Bush – His name doesn’t sound like he can be called a sleeper but everyone has about given up no him. Expect him to turn it around against an awful Giants defense.

Deep Sleepers

1. Alfonso Smith – With Beanie Wells likely out in week 8, Smith stands to receive a huge boost in workload. Expecting 15 touches is reasonable this weekend.
2. Daniel Fells – With Tebow being Tebow, he is going to need close targets to be successful. Fells is the first TE on the depth chart for the Broncos and he has shown he can make Tebow look brilliant. He isn’t a must start but he could make you look smart by heeding this advice.

Food for Thought

1. The most underrated aspects of fantasy football is the concept of ‘guaranteed touches’. When I get the large list of questions each day, the phrase I try and include is ‘guaranteed touches’. With said touches, you help yourself out with more chances for big plays. If a player is only going to touch the ball five times a game, his fantasy value is limited. This is why fantasy analysts constantly recommend running backs over receivers, they simply touch the ball more. So when deciding between Mike Tolbert and Steve Breaston, just remember, Tolbert will have more guaranteed touches.

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Stud: More then 15 points

Dud: Less then 10 points

Sleeper: More then 8 points

Deep Sleeper: More then 6 points

Keep sending your questions to DailyFantasyFootball@gmail.com and click the subscribe button to the right for daily content!

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Week 7: Wednesday Countdown

Tim Tebow is the poor man's Cam Newton.

The way this week has worked out has certainly benefited those who had been most affected by bye-weeks. Names like DeMarco Murray, Montario Hardesty, Tim Tebow, Jackie Battle, and Eric Decker certainly have the potential to save your week. However, this isn’t a waiver wire pick-up article but what I like to call my ‘Wednesday Countdown’ where I list:

• 5 Studs
• 4 Duds
• 3 Sleepers
• 2 Deep Sleepers and
• 1 Food for Thought

I will be keeping track of my stats on a weekly basis.

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Studs

1. Tony Romo
2. Darren McFadden
3. Matt Forte
4. Ray Rice
5. Miles Austin

Duds

1. Jason Witten – For everything the Ram’s don’t do they make up for in tight-end coverage. St. Louis is the number one ranked defense against the position meaning Tony Romo will likely be airing it out to Miles Austin and Dez Bryant.
2. Vincent Jackson – Revis Island and he is @NYJ.
3. Larry Fitzgerald – Steelers secondary is still elite and Kolb has been a big disappointment all year.
4. Steven Jackson – Dallas hasn’t given up more then 84 yards, on the ground, this year.

Sleepers

1. Jackie Battle – Oakland has a porous rushing defense and he looks to be the workhorse in Kansas City.
2. Steve Breaston – He has emerged as a solid number two. In case you can’t tell, I believe in the Chiefs this week @ Oakland.
3. DeMarco Murray – Dallas is going to ground and pound it in the second half after they go up big on St. Louis; the Rams have had little success stopping the run at all giving up over 130 yards on the ground in four out of fives games.

Deep Sleepers

1. Damian Williams – His redzone targets have gone up which is a product of teams covering Nate Washington. Williams could easily get 4 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown this week against a Mario Williams-less Texans defense.
2. Christian Ponder – Welcome to the NFL Christian Ponder. Your first task, the Green Bay Packers. Good news for fantasy owners as he will likely be playing catch-up the entire game. I foresee a lot of dump offs to Shiancoe and Peterson.

Food for Thought

1. What happens when Tim Tebow fails? Rumors at the start of the season were that Tebow was 4th on the Broncos depth chart (behind Kyle Orton, Brady Quinn, and undrafted rookie QB Adam Weber). Clearly the Broncos were on to something but it is time to find out how right they were. Putting your fantasy season in the hands of a barely viable NFL quarterback could come back to haunt you. The decision to stick with Tebow will either really hurt you or at the most keep you in matches; make no mistake, Tim Tebow will not win you matches from week to week. In my mind, Tim Tebow is roughly the 10th most valuable fantasy quarterback going forward. So odds are if you picked him up Tebow is your guy. Good luck to those that are going to stick it out with Tebow, I’m rooting for you.

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Stud: More then 15 points

Dud: Less then 10 points

Sleeper: More then 8 points

Deep Sleeper: More then 6 points

Keep sending your questions to DailyFantasyFootball@gmail.com and click the subscribe button to the right for daily content!

Results (weekly | yearly)

Studs: 2/5 | (5/10)

Duds: 1/4 | (3/8)

Sleepers: 1/3 | (3/6)

Deep Sleepers: 0/2 | (0/4)

Alright so yeah. Last week was pretty bad for me. Feeling confident about my picks this week.

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Week 6: Wednesday Countdown

It’s Wednesday and that means the Wednesday Countdown where I list:

• 5 Studs
• 4 Duds
• 3 Sleepers
• 2 Deep Sleepers and
• 1 Food for Thought

I will be keeping track of my stats on a weekly basis.

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Studs

1. Hakeem Nicks
2. Fred Jackson
3. Miles Austin
4. Adrian Peterson
5. Matt Forte

Duds

1. LeSean McCoy – Washington has only given up 100 yards on the ground once this season.
2. Mike Wallace – Bit of a gut call, just don’t think he can continue at this pace.
3. Owen Daniels – Never like a guy playing @Baltimore against Ray Lewis and gang.
4. Michael Vick – Tough Redskins secondary and the team seems torn apart.

Sleepers

1. Jason Avant – Same amount of looks as Maclin but not as much love in the fantasy world.
2. Darrius Heywerd-Bey – He makes fast people look not so fast.
3. Greg Little – Rookie promoted to the starting line-up. Expect big things.

Deep Sleepers

1. Matt Moore – Jet’s defense has been sloppy of late and Moore isn’t that much worse then Henne. Again, DEEP sleeper.
2. Ted Ginn – Another pure gut call. Just takes one long catch or return for me to be right.

Food for Thought

1. Denver isn’t the first team to give into public pressure, but they are the smartest about. The hype for Tebow was probably just about to burst but by cashing in on all the public attention the Bronco’s are likely to make out very well from this move financially. To make it better, Denver has a bye-week giving them an extra week to game plan for Tebow as quarterback. The fantasy world thanks you John Fox.

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Stud: Must finish in the top 10 of his position

Dud: Must finish outside the top 15 of his position

Sleeper: RB (top 20), WR (top 40), QB (top 12), TE (top 12)

Deep Sleeper: RB (top 30), WR (top 55), QB (top 15), TE (top 15)

Keep sending your questions to DailyFantasyFootball@gmail.com and click the subscribe button to the right for daily content!

Results (weekly | yearly)

Studs: 3/5 | (3/5)

Duds: 2/4 | (2/4)

Sleepers: 2/3 | (2/3)

Deep Sleepers: 0/2 | (0/2)

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Wednesday Countdown

Andre Johnson is the latest of the studs to go down with a serious injury.

It’s Wednesday and hopefully your starting line-up for Week 5 is starting to take shape. This is a segmet I am calling ‘Wednesday Countdown’ where I list:

• 5 Studs
• 4 Duds
• 3 Sleepers
• 2 Deep Sleepers and
• 1 Food for Thought

I will be keeping track of my stats on a weekly basis.

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Studs

1. Arian Foster
2. LeSean McCoy
3. Calvin Johnson
4. Steve Smith (CAR)
5. Greg Jennings

Duds

1. Dwayne Bowe
   I am a believer in the Indy secondary. I look for KC to try and ground and pound all day.
2. Jahvid Best
   Best is an afterthought to Stafford on most plays who seems to look to Brandon Pettigrew as his safety net.
3. Nate Washington
   Going to receive all the attention from the Steelers secondary, not a favorable match-up.
4. Wes Welker
   Jets have been relatively shut-down and Welker gets Revis island this week

Sleepers

1. Preston Parker
   As stated in my weekly Waiver Wire Pick-Ups blog, Parker has become one of Freeman’s favorite targets. Williams and Winslow are attracting attention and leaving Parker open down the field.
2. Kevin Walter
   Andre Johnson is out and Jacoby Jones is not a no. 1 receiver. Walter should see a huge boost in workload as a result.
3. Jason Campbell
   Two games over 300 yards and is a major threat to score on the ground. Currently the 11th ranked QB and a lot of that has to do with how successful the Raiders have been in setting up the pass with the run. Look for him to post top-12 numbers again against the Texans defense which is still trying to make a name for itself.

Deep Sleepers

1. Earnest Graham
   Especially in PPR formats, Graham is seeing all the 3rd down action and has the agility and speed to break away from any secondary.
2. Titus Young
   The Boise State stud is typically an afterthought on the Lions who just put the ball up and watch as Megatron makes a play of the week on every catch. But Stafford does a great job of distributing the ball. Young has had 12 catches for just under 200 yards in the last three games. He faces a Bears defense who let Cam Newton and company throw the ball all day, and well.

Food for Thought

1. At some point the Buffalo Bills are going to wake-up and say, wait a minute, we’re the Buffalo Bills. All we know is losing. If your fantasy season is riding on a Bill, or two, or even three, eventually I recommend selling high. Ryan Fitzpatrick is smart enough to not make awful throws (see Chad Henne) which has kept the Bills relevant to this point. Fred Jackson’s stock is like a gold rush right now and Scott Chandler’s is currently in recession. You are making a gamble by risking your season on a team who hasn’t been relevant in a decade and has a lot of components that are unproven. Fred Jackson could be this years Peyton Hillis. Ryan Fitzpatrick maybe this years Matt Cassel. Have the Bills showed their poker hand to early this year? I think so.

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And a final note for the day, Colt McCoy  is the 27th most owned QB and he is 13th in points in front of Phillip Rivers, Matt Schaub, Matt Ryan, and Joe Flacco. Give the man some credit.

Stud: Must finish in the top 10 of his position

Dud: Must finish outside the top 15 of his position

Sleeper: RB (top 20), WR (top 40), QB (top 12), TE (top 12)

Deep Sleeper: RB (top 30), WR (top 55), QB (top 15), TE (top 15)

Keep sending your questions to DailyFantasyFootball@gmail.com and click the subscribe button to the right for daily content!

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