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New Direction

You may be wondering why there is no Wednesday Countdown today, and the answer is simple, what’s the point to that article? For me the only interesting part was ‘food for thought’. The goal of this blog was to help people make line-up decisions, whether that be sit & start, weekly adds, or long term decisions. This blog will be geared more towards this going forward.

If you have any suggestions leave them in the comments!

Week 9 Byes: Panthers, Lions, Jaguars, Vikings
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Andy Dalton – QB

Andy Dalton

The rookie combination of Andy Dalton and A.J. Greene has been a thing of beauty all week. Tennessee has given up double digits fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in five straight weeks. If you need a bye-week fill-in, he is likely your best option.

A.J. Feeley – QB

A.J. Feeley

Going on match-up alone here and I am assuming Sam Bradford will still be out. Arizona is awful against the pass and you can guarantee Feely is available in your league (owned in <1% of all leagues). With the emergence of Brandon Lloyd and Greg Salas he has good receivers and a solid running back to open up the passing game. Realistic expectations is 10-12 points.

Javon Ringer – RB

Javon Ringer

Another speculative add here, but Ringer has clearly outproduced Chris Johnson to this point in the season. In fact, I would argue almost any running back in the NFL would have outproduced CJ2K to this point. The Titans aren’t in a position to bench Johnson, but they certainly can’t afford to put the workload on his back. Assuming a 50/50 split for the rest of the season, Javon Ringer’s value is on par with the likes of James Starks, Ben Tate, Ryan Torain, and Delone Carter.

Kevin Faulk – RB

Kevin Faulk

As noted in my Sunday Notes, Kevin Faulk is a favorite of Bill Belichik and stands to see a large part of the work load going forward. After only practicing for one week the Patriots trusted him enough to take six carries. It is also interesting that Danny Woodhead and Stevan Ridley didn’t touch the ball in the game. BGJE probably has the goal line work but with the guarnateed touches alone, Faulk is a solid add.

Antonio Brown – WR

Antonio Brown

Brown is Mike Wallace 2.0. He has all the intangibles of a great NFL receiver and he has enough speed to be a deep threat (which he is). He is a PPR monster and an above average play in standard formats. If he is available in your league, which there is a good chance of, he is almost a must add. Dangerous match-up this week against Baltimore, but following Baltimore are some favorable match-ups.

Demaryius Thomas – WR

Demaryius Thomas

Leave Thomas here to reiterate I believe he is the long term option in Denver.

From last week: Not so much for this week but for the rest of the season. With Brandon Lloyd gone and Eric Decker getting all the attention (for now) from defenses Demaryius Thomas is a deep threat waiting to happen. We all know how Tim Tebow makes poor decisions but that actually benefits physical receivers. Once Thomas and Tebow improve their chemistry it is entirely possible he becomes the go to guy.

Brent Celek – TE

Brent Celek

Impossible not to recommend the add after his past two performances. He has 11 catches in his last two games and almost double the targets. He has become apart of the Eagles offense and that is extremely important as Philadelphia starts putting together good match-ups. Week 9 Celek meets the Bears who are dead last in the NFL against tight ends.

Heath Miller – TE

Heath Miller

Another repeat of last week. Same reasoning as Celek.

From last week: Great match up this week for Miller as the Patriots are severely lacking at the linebacker position. Expect Miller to have another 5-7 catch day with a strong possibility for a touchdown. One of the better times this year to use Miller.

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Kicker pick-up of the week: Rian Lindell

D/ST pick-up of the week: Chiefs

Other Potential Pick-ups: Alex Smith(QB), Christian Ponder (BYE) (QB), Alfonso Smith (RB), Delone Carter (RB), Jabar Gaffney (WR), Michael Jenkins (BYE) (WR), Michael Crabtree (WR), Jake Ballard (TE), Jared Cook(TE)

Keep sending in all your great questions and don’t forget to subscribe to my blog for daily content!

Monday Notes

Chiefs 23 – Chargers 20

  • For those waiting for Jackie Battle to disappear, keep waiting. He is the only viable running back on the team and he runs downhill with heart. Oh, and he found the end zone finally.
  • Not buying into Jonathan Baldwin. He is a potential to repeat this week, but a 14-team plus only add.
  • Two great quarterback performances on Monday night. If you missed the game, try and catch an abridged version somehow. Matt Cassel looked mobile in the pocket and Phillip Rivers made plays that were hall of fame worthy.
  • Yes, they both threw two interceptions. There was a big difference between the first half and the second half in quality.
  • Ryan Matthews likely out next week. Mike Tolbert’s status completely unknown. Enter Curtis Brinkley, undrafted free agent out of Syracuse. He is another name to add to the list of undrafted FA’s who are hidden gems. If there is any doubt to Tolbert’s status, Brinkley is a must add in all formats, especially in PPR.
  • Malcolm Floyd is big, fast, and agile. He makes plays and as long as Rivers has time Floyd stands to benefit greatly.
  • I would sit Phillip Rivers this week. He may have difficulty getting over what happened with the fumble. Risky play at best.
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Leave your thoughts on the games in the comments!
As always if you have a question ask it here and subscribe to this blog for daily content (button on the right)!

Sunday Notes

Rams vs Saints

It's official. The Ram's 'Luck' is done.

Well it wasn’t the best weekend of football I have ever seen, but I can sure do my best to find the most interesting points from each game. We escaped with only one or two meaningful injuries, so count your blessings for that. One has to assume there will be about 5 or 6 tonight to compensate, so we’ll see. Let’s get to why you are here, if you have any questions about my notes feel free to leave a comment and I’ll do my best to respond.

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Titans 27 – Colts 10

  • Javon Ringer is outpacing, outplaying, and outscoring Chris Johnson on a weekly basis. Time to take evasive actions if you were waiting for a cue.
  • Just when you wanted to drop him, Nate Washington reminds fantasy owners he is there. This game was against the Colts, don’t base anything off of it. He is still who we though he was, an average number 2 receiver.
  • Damian Williams is still a solid deep league play. He should have had a touchdown but just missed it. He seems to get the most red zone targets of anyone on the team, by far.
  • Donald Brown appears to be the goal line back, but Delone Carter was the better change of pace back. Going forward, Carter is the better play if Addai is out.
  • Colts worth starting (in this order): Pierre Garcon, and Dallas Clark. Time to move on, and good ‘Luck’.
Rams 31 – Saints 21
  • Don’t blame Pierre Thomas or Darren Sproles for their forgettable days, they were behind the entire day and there really weren’t any rushing opportunities. Both are startable for now, Thomas is startable while Ingram is out or limited.
  • Thus proving anyone and everyone can have a good day for the Saints, Lance Moore makes an appearance and was really the only Saint who returned benefit. Still a flex play at best.
  • Hopefully you didn’t give up on Stephan Jackson, he looked like the back of old, which is scary good going forward.
  • Brandon Lloyd made great catches and made A.J. Feeely look like a competent NFL quarterback (which he is not). When Bradford is back, this combination is going to be a thing of beauty.
  • Greg Salas continues to be a sneaky good play at flex. Bye-week fill-in only.
Giants 20 – Dolphins 17
  • Just so I covered it, Reggie Bush had a good day. Time to move on, don’t read into it too much. The Giants are spotty at best on defense and Daniel Thomas wasn’t there to take carries.
  • Steve Slaton looks like he is going to be the goal line vulture for the Dolphins. Really good deep league play moving forward.
  • Sadly, the Miami passing game is a mess. Davone Bess is a good PPR play, but outside of that not startable. Marshall is a guy you have to play but you are really praying for that one play to make his day.
  • Eli Manning looks incredible. Definitely playing at a high level right now. Nicks, Cruz, and Manningham are all good starts every week.
  • Nicks’ status for next week shouldn’t be in question, but his owners are going to be following the injury reports all weeks. Hamstring injuries are never ‘nothing’.
Vikings 24 – Panthers 21
  • If you played against Adrian Peterson this week, sorry.
  • Christian Ponder doesn’t hurt the value of any Vikings, but he sure doesn’t make it better. Percy Harvin is the only receiver who should be considered as a start, but he is by no means a must-start.
  • And the shift in power to Jonathan Stewart continues. The workload is still about 70-30 but the production isn’t even close. Williams isn’t startable.
  • Shockey had his first touchdown of the year. A one yard catch. His only one of the game. Don’t go hunting for him.
Ravens 30 – Cardinals 27
  • Nothing to say about the Cardinals other then Kevin Kolb isn’t good, and was over hyped. 10 for 21 is not the line of a viable NFL quarterback.
  • Joe ‘Cool’ Flacco is ‘Mr. Inconsistent’. In the first half he was dreadful, hardly looked like he was playing in the pros. The second half was a different story and he was unstoppable. Point is, Flacco is a ‘box of chocolates’.
  • Ray Rice had three touchdowns, which is why Flacco had none. Nothing significant about that. Just the way the game played out.
  • Anquan Boldin is putting together good games. Bump up his value and get him in your line-up.
  • Baltimore is trying to feed Torrey Smith the ball, they really are. Other teams have figured out his speed and don’t let him run freely anymore. Tough match-ups ahead, hard to see a situation in which you start him.
Texans 24 – Jaguars 14
  • Not foreseeing a situation in which I’d start anyone in the Texans passing game until Johnson is back. Walter is the ‘best’ start of the bunch, but even Daniels is struggling. Hopefully Andre Johnson is back in the next two weeks.
  • I’ll just repeat this again, in a redraft, Arian Foster has to be a top-3 pick.
  • Ugh. Blaine Gabbert is awful.
  • You’re starting MJD, obviously, and sitting every other Jaguar. They aren’t even fun to watch.
Bills 23 – Redskins 0
  • Fred Davis had a decent day.
  • Not convinced John Beck is better then Rex Grossman, but Washington is stuck with Beck by default at this point.
  • Buffalo’s defense isn’t elite by any means, the Redskins just looked that bad.
  • Ryan Torain led the team in rushes. DeMarco Murray easily out rushed the Redskins after his first two official rushes. We aren’t being Shannahaned any more, they are just bad.
  • Why did Scott Chandler have to have two touchdowns? People are going to mistake this for him being a good fantasy player. Drop that thought out of your head, go back and look at his previous weeks. Not a good pick-up.
  • C.J. Spiller is still being used as a receiver, but he isn’t in on enough plays to be startable.
  • Stevie Johnson has a slight edge in value over David Nelson, but both are mediocre plays while Fred Jackson is healthy. Jackson is the Bills offense for now and he hurts everyone’s value.
Lions 45 – Broncos 10
  • If Tim Tebow isn’t the worst NFL quarterback to play the game, he certainly is in discussion for top-5. His throws are so far off you don’t know who he is throwing to sometimes.
  • Tebow and Moreno had equal rushing games.
  • Everyone on the Lions except Pettigrew and Burleson posted great games. Not much to think about, could have been anyone. If you can sell high on anyone (except Calvin Johnson), now would be the time to do so.
  • Morris and Williams split carries for the Lions, Morris looked an NFL running back, Williams looked like a practice squad guy.
Pittsburgh 25 – Patriots 17
  • Welcome back Kevin Faulk who is likely the back to own now in New England. He is a Belichick favorite and will at least share a large split of the workload. BJGE is still an alright option.
  • Tight End split in New England pops it’s evil head again. Gronkowski easily led the team in targets, catches, and yards.
  • Branch is still a viable flex play.
  • There is definitely a split in carries for Pittsburgh between Mendenhall and Redman even though Isaac Redman is awful. Don’t even consider starting him.
  • Five Steelers had good receiving days. Remember who they were playing. You are starting Wallace every week. Brown and Sanders are flex plays.
  • Ben Roethlisberger was gimpy again, he is not over his foot injury that had to of been re-aggravated in this one. He’ll play through it either way.
49ers 20 – Browns 10
  • Montario Hardesty left early with an injury. Assuming Hillis returns, Hardesty is 100% drop-able. Chris Ogbonnaya is next on the depth chart, but hopefully you don’t have to scavenge that deep.
  • Regression for Greg Little but progression from Benjamin Watson. Watson continues to be one of the sneakier fantasy plays all year that no one really talks about.
  • It’s still humerus how much the 49ers do not want Alex Smith throwing the ball. Mind boggling they let him have the ball if they don’t trust him.
  • Kendall Hunter didn’t have a big part in the running game as was once expected, Gore appears to have the full workload again. Good news.
  • Michael Crabtree’s stock is skyrocketing right now. He is a borderline must-start. Seriously.
  • Braylon Edwards looked good. Need to see one more good game in a row to recommend anything.
Bengals 34 – Seahawks 12
  • Watching Andy Dalton and AJ Greene play pitch and catch is going to be one of America’s best past times in years to come. Really great combination, great drafting Cincinnati.
  • Bernard Scott did as well as expected. You can drop him now.
  • Charlie Whitehurst had the start at QB for Seattle, but he was so bad they just decided to put Jackson in anyways.
  • Marshawn Lynch hopefully is hurt, if not there is no excuse for averaging under 2 yards per carry.
  • Sidney Rice, Ben Obomanu, and Doug Baldwin are all risky flex plays with big upside (in that order).
Eagles 34 – Cowboys 7
  • In case you missed the memo, Jeremy Maclin is the best receiver in Philadelphia.
  • LeSean McCoy is a top-3 back in the NFL, I have no idea how so many people missed that in preseason rankings.
  • They are designing runs for Vick again, scary actually. Hope he can stay healthy.
  • The Eagles figured out how to play together, on offense and defense. Really optimistic about everyone moving forward.
  • Brent Celek is relevant again? Cautiously optimistic on this one.
  • Dallas as a team gets a break for this performance, Philadelphia could have beaten anyone last night.
  • DeMarco Murray was great again on limited action. He only had 8 carries but managed 74 yards on them. Game just never allowed for running situations.
  • Not buying Laurent Robinson at all. His touchdown came in garbage time against soft coverage.
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As always if you have a question ask it here and subscribe to this blog for daily content (button on the right)!
Santana Moss

Broken hand for Santana Moss. Anthony Armstrong and Jabar Gaffney stand to benefit the most.

Well, I apologize for no Stock Watch article for week 8. I was under the weather and needed a break. But, good news is I feel better today and I have some great questions from the readers. Really enjoy getting so many questions each week as they give me unique opportunities to analyze different situations. Half of the questions I get are extremely in-depth and very situation dependent. The ones that aren’t are used for this article as the long ones would just be too much reading. This week surprisingly didn’t have too many common questions. The most asked about player was Jabar Gaffney but even he had limited questions.

So I am under the assumption week 8 is a boring week in comparison to week 7. Good news, I think. Let’s jump into those questions for week 8!

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Heath Miller or Jake Ballard at TE? – BigHurtPR
I like Ballard this week. Miami is a pretty embarrassing football team and possession is going to be the name of the game. But in all honesty, both are decent plays this week, just giving the edge to Ballard.

I have Blount, Tolbert, Steven Jackson, and Peyton Hillis – Are any of these worth Dropping for Brandon Jacobs who is a free agent in my league? It is a ppr league – Nick
Jacobs isn’t worth adding. Bradshaw may have worked the system in New York to where he has even more snaps then usual when Jacobs returns. You just have to wait and see if there is any value in him before you give up someone valuable for him. So just sit on the guys you have and worry about the bye-week when it happens.

So you think Michael Jenkins is worth more than Torrey Smith?
Actually, yeah. It’s tough to judge if Ponder is going to stay this good but if he does Jenkins actually has some value.

Hey Bro! Would you start BGE or Gore this week? BGE vs Pittsburgh, Gore vs Cleveland. Thanks bro! – Martin
Definitely Gore. Start your studs every week even if the match-up is a bit off. Pittsburgh is still a good defense, not the best anymore, but not a favorable match-up by any means.

What do you think about me trading Jonathan Stewart for Marshawn Lynch and Colt McCoy? – Isaac
It’s alright. Rather have J. Stew over either considering Lynch isn’t exactly a lock to be healthy this season (back injuries don’t go away) and McCoy hasn’t been anything special, just average at best.

Would you take Torrey Smith over Reggie Wayne this week? Thanks. – Shane
Yes I would. Really like Smith this week. My guess this is that he will have his final ‘breakout’ game this year. This isn’t a traditional safe pick, but it isn’t like Reggie Wayne is going to give you a great fantasy day anyways.

Greetings, who do I start: Pierre Thomas or Mark Ingram (at STL)… (non PPR)? – Alberto
Still sticking with Ingram in non-PPR leagues. Thomas more a higher value in PPR formats but Ingram should get the bulk of the carries and, in theory, goal line situation priority.

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Have a question you’d like to see answered? Ask it here.

As always, don’t forget to subscribe to this blog for daily content. 

No content today.

Apologies everyone. Under the weather today and couldn’t possible give a good stock watch article. Have a great day!

Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson is back. Expect a huge turnaround this week.

Strange week. Lot’s of injuries and bye-weeks. Either you are scrambling to put together a team or you are just hoping to stay healthy this week, the season is only half over (for fantasy). Let’s take a look at the ‘Wednesday Countdown’ where I list:

  • 5 Studs
  • 4 Duds
  • 3 Sleepers
  • 2 Deep Sleepers and
  • 1 Food for Thought
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Studs
  1. Eli Manning
  2. Drew Brees
  3. Adrian Peterson
  4. Chris Johnson (seriously)
  5. Anquan Boldin
Duds
  1. Fred Jackson – Against one the NFL’s best rushing defenses, the Bills are going to pass early and often and I would be surprised if Jackson eclipses 17-18 touches.
  2. Frank Gore – Cleveland has only allowed two rushing touchdowns to opposing backs all season.
  3. Dwayne Bowe – He has been inconsistent since he has been in the league and this is going to be a down week. San Diego only has given up two touchdowns to opposing receivers outside of last weeks game where Burress scored three times. That won’t happen again.
  4. Jimmy Graham – This call could end up looking genius if I am right. I am assuming Brees will have a big day but the beneficiaries will be Colston, Sproles, and Meachem. St. Louis plays tight ends well and this could be Grahams worst week of the season.
Sleepers
  1. Matt Hasselbeck – Indianapolis is awful. Big day for the Titans ahead.
  2. Demaryius Thomas – After a week to get acclimated with the offense, Thomas will be unleashed. Hope you picked him up before he gets hot.
  3. Reggie Bush – His name doesn’t sound like he can be called a sleeper but everyone has about given up no him. Expect him to turn it around against an awful Giants defense.
Deep Sleepers
  1. Alfonso Smith – With Beanie Wells likely out in week 8, Smith stands to receive a huge boost in workload. Expecting 15 touches is reasonable this weekend.
  2. Daniel Fells – With Tebow being Tebow, he is going to need close targets to be successful. Fells is the first TE on the depth chart for the Broncos and he has shown he can make Tebow look brilliant. He isn’t a must start but he could make you look smart by heeding this advice.
Food for Thought
  1. The most underrated aspects of fantasy football is the concept of ‘guaranteed touches’. When I get the large list of questions each day, the phrase I try and include is ‘guaranteed touches’. With said touches, you help yourself out with more chances for big plays. If a player is only going to touch the ball five times a game, his fantasy value is limited. This is why fantasy analysts constantly recommend running backs over receivers, they simply touch the ball more. So when deciding between Mike Tolbert and Steve Breaston, just remember, Tolbert will have more guaranteed touches.
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Stud: More then 15 points
Dud: Less then 10 points
Sleeper: More then 8 points
Deep Sleeper: More then 6 points

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